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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 25 April 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 25 April 2026. Venezia vs Empoli (Venezia or draw) led the list at 88% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Venezia or draw 88%
Venezia
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59%
#2 League Two Β· England Cambridge United or draw 88%
Cambridge United
3 : 0 FT
Barrow
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 League One Β· England Lincoln or draw 87%
Lincoln
4 : 3 FT
Wycombe
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#4 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 87%
Chengdu Better City
4 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 86%
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Sigma Olomouc
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#6 League One Β· England Cardiff or draw 86%
Cardiff
5 : 1 FT
Northampton
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 57%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 86%
Benfica
4 : 1 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland AC Oulu or draw 85%
Lahti
2 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 15%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 85%
Atletico Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Athletic Club
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 84%
FSV Mainz 05
3 : 4 FT
Bayern München
Win 16%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 League One Β· England Wigan or draw 83%
Wigan
0 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Championship Β· England Oxford United or draw 83%
Oxford United
4 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 34%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67% Oxford United Clean Sheet 55%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy Catanzaro or draw 83%
Catanzaro
4 : 2 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 83%
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 83%
Frosinone
3 : 0 FT
Carrarese
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Rizespor or draw 82%
Kayserispor
2 : 0 FT
Rizespor
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 81%
Arsenal
1 : 0 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#18 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 81%
Bahia
2 : 2 FT
Santos
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#19 Superettan Β· Sweden Falkenbergs FF or draw 81%
Falkenbergs FF
1 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 53%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku or draw 81%
Inter Turku
1 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 25 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Venezia vs Empoli (Venezia or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.