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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 23 April 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 23 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 90% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 90%
PSV Eindhoven
6 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 88% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 85%
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 0 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Taawon or draw 82%
Al Najma
1 : 2 FT
Al Taawon
Win 18%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 81%
Al Bataeh
0 : 2 FT
Al Ain
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 53%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Damac or draw 78%
Damac
2 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Rayo Vallecano or draw 77%
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 77%
Degerfors IF
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 51%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 23 April 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.