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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 17 March 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 64 fixtures on Sunday 17 March 2024. Salford City vs Morecambe sits top on 86% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1 : 0 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
3 : 3 FT
Incheon United
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
3 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
✓ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
0 : 4 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 12%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
0 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
2 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
0 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 1 FT
Lille
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 67% Stade Brestois 29 Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
5 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
✓ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
3 : 0 FT
SV Wehen
✓ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
7 : 0 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
1 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
3 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 13%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
3 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 2 FT
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
✓ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 22%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 4 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 29%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
0 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
League Two · England
Salford City
3 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 39%
Draw 19%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 86% ✓ BTTS Yes 83%
Model Score 2–2 · 7%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
2 : 2 FT
Lorient
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Clermont Foot
2 : 1 FT
Le Havre
✓ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
2 : 1 FT
Metz
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
ŁKS Łódź
1 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 22%
Draw 28%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 34%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 2 FT
Plzen
Win 28%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
✓ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 21%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Leeds
2 : 0 FT
Millwall
✓ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Coquimbo Unido
0 : 0 FT
Colo Colo
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Huachipato
2 : 1 FT
Deportes Copiapo
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
4 : 1 FT
Lecco
✓ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Las Palmas
0 : 1 FT
Almeria
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
1 : 0 FT
Valencia
✓ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Chaves
1 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 23%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 0 FT
Arouca
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 51%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
2 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
5 : 1 FT
TSV Hartberg
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Marseille
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
✓ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Piast Gliwice
✓ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Sassuolo
✓ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
✓ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 62% Sparta Praha Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 0 FT
Real Betis
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
5 : 0 FT
Charleroi
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Cercle Brugge
4 : 0 FT
RWDM
✓ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 18%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 23%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
1 : 0 FT
Twente
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Montpellier
2 : 6 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 23%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
1 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
0 : 3 FT
Barcelona
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP
6 : 1 FT
Boavista
✓ Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
Palestino
0 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
U. Catolica
0 : 0 FT
A. Italiano
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 64 of 64 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 17 March 2024?

64 fixtures met the criteria, led by Salford City vs Morecambe at 86% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.