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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 24 November 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 34 fixtures on Friday 24 November 2023. VVV Venlo vs Cambuur sits top on 84% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
3 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United
0 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 1 FT
Nakhon Pathom
Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
1 : 1 FT
Volos NFC
Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
ŁKS Łódź
0 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 : 0 FT
Polessya
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 62% Hamburger SV Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 15%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Utsikten
0 : 7 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
4 : 3 FT
Al-Raed
✓ Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
2 : 0 FT
De Graafschap
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Groningen
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 2 FT
Emmen
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 5 FT
Willem II
Win 24%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 31%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 82%
Model Score 2–2 · 7%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
3 : 2 FT
Dender
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 2 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 15%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 62%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia
0 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 1 FT
Spezia
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Rotherham
1 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 2 FT
Monaco
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Alaves
3 : 1 FT
Granada CF
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile
1 : 2 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primera División · Chile
Union La Calera
4 : 0 FT
Union Espanola
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 24 November 2023?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by VVV Venlo vs Cambuur at 84% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.