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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 16 October 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 110 fixtures on Sunday 16 October 2022. Ajax vs Excelsior led the list at 80% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
0 : 2 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
America Mineiro
1 : 2 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
1 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 2 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
3 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 27%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 1 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
0 : 1 FT
Seongnam FC
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Miedz Legnica
1 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Salernitana
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
Lampang FC
✓ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
3 : 2 FT
Angers
✓ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Dalkurd FF
1 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
✓ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
2 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 0 FT
SV Sandhausen
✓ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Holstein Kiel
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0 : 3 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
3 : 0 FT
Antwerp
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
AC Oulu
0 : 2 FT
Ilves
Win 32%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
2 : 2 FT
VPS
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Lahti
6 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
2 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
✓ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
2 : 3 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 22%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 52%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
3 : 0 FT
Groningen
✓ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
6 : 1 FT
Utrecht
✓ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
3 : 2 FT
Wolfsberger AC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
0 : 2 FT
Chelsea
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Leeds
0 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
0 : 0 FT
Newcastle
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Southampton
1 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
1 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
4 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
3 : 2 FT
Lyon
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
3 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
✓ Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
0 : 0 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 2 FT
Osters IF
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
0 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Spezia
2 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
1 : 0 FT
Atromitos
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
1 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
1 : 2 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
3 : 1 FT
Slovácko
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
3 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 3 FT
Zenit
Win 17%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 55%
BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Hull City
0 : 2 FT
Birmingham
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
3 : 0 FT
KV Mechelen
✓ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
3 : 2 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
0 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Honka
1 : 1 FT
Haka
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
1 : 0 FT
SJK
✓ Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
2 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 26%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
0 : 3 FT
Plzen
Win 33%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 35%
BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Perugia
1 : 2 FT
Sudtirol
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
0 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
0 : 0 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
1 : 3 FT
Abha
Win 31%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
4 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eliteserien · Norway
Aalesund
0 : 0 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eliteserien · Norway
Kristiansund BK
0 : 1 FT
Haugesund
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eliteserien · Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 2 FT
jerv
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
0 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
0 : 6 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
2 : 2 FT
OFI
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna
1 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 19%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–2 · 9%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco
1 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · England
Liverpool
1 : 0 FT
Manchester City
✓ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Bundesliga · Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 0 FT
Borussia Dortmund
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 3 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 27%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
3 : 2 FT
Bologna
✓ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
0 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
1 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 23%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 0 FT
Valladolid
✓ Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
0 : 1 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
0 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 22%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Eliteserien · Norway
Lillestrom
0 : 1 FT
Molde
Win 26%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
✓ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
5 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
0 : 2 FT
Damac
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
✓ Win 70%
Draw 22%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 64%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
7 : 1 FT
Excelsior
✓ Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 3–0 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 22%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras
0 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Brazil
Ceara
1 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
3 : 1 FT
Almeria
✓ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 8%
BTTS No 64% Real Betis Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 2–0 · 16%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
1 : 6 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 27%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
0 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 26%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Serie A · Brazil
Juventude
1 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Avai
0 : 3 FT
Fluminense
Win 35%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Coritiba
✓ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Atletico Paranaense Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%

Showing 110 of 110 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 16 October 2022?

110 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Excelsior at 80% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.