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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Sunday 6 March 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

83 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 6 March 2022. Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona sits top on 75% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 20%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2 : 0 FT
FC Seoul
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 31%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeju United FC
0 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
✓ Model Score 0–0 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 2 FT
Arsenal Tula
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
3 : 2 FT
Khimki
✓ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Pattaya United
1 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Suphanburi
1 : 3 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Heracles
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
3 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Empoli
Win 20%
Draw 38%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 0 FT
Metz
✓ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Inhulets
– : – CANC
Lviv
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 1 FT
Dynamo Dresden
✓ Win 55%
Draw 33%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 : 0 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
1 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 20%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Antwerp
2 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
✓ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
0 : 2 FT
Muangthong United
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
2 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
✓ Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
0 : 0 FT
Altay
Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
0 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 33%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 44%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente
1 : 0 FT
Cambuur
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Watford
2 : 3 FT
Arsenal
Win 13%
Draw 17%
✓ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Bordeaux
0 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
✓ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims
1 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Angers
✓ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze
3 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
✓ Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Bologna
0 : 0 FT
Torino
Win 34%
✓ Draw 38%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Serie A · Italy
Venezia
1 : 4 FT
Sassuolo
Win 17%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
0 : 1 FT
Slovácko
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 0 FT
Karviná
✓ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Crotone
0 : 0 FT
Alessandria
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Perugia
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 26%
✓ Draw 42%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
Serie B · Italy
Vicenza Virtus
3 : 1 FT
Ternana
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Anderlecht
3 : 0 FT
Oostende
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Royal Excel Mouscron
0 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
4 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
– : – CANC
Chornomorets
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
1 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 31%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
0 : 1 FT
Maritimo
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · Switzerland
Grasshoppers
2 : 4 FT
Servette FC
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
1 : 1 FT
FC Sion
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
3 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 3 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 19%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
1 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 47%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Antalyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Austria
Admira Wacker
1 : 2 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 19%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Bundesliga · Austria
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
✓ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
2 : 2 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
3 : 0 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 1 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
Dynamo
0 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
4 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Manchester City
4 : 1 FT
Manchester United
✓ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 1 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
0 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus
1 : 0 FT
Spezia
✓ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
2 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
0 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
1 : 2 FT
Panetolikos
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
2 : 0 FT
Apollon Smirnis
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 12%
Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
0 : 2 FT
PAOK
Win 13%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 67%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 0–2 · 12%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Sparta Praha
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
4 : 3 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 0 FT
Standard Liege
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Desna
– : – CANC
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–2 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
2 : 4 FT
FC Porto
Win 15%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
3 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille
0 : 1 FT
Monaco
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
0 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
1 : 3 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
2 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
✓ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
3 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC
2 : 1 FT
Famalicao
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
3 : 1 FT
Vizela
✓ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primera División · Chile
O'Higgins
2 : 2 FT
A. Italiano
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primera División · Chile
Cobresal
3 : 1 FT
U. Catolica
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%

Showing 83 of 83 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Sunday 6 March 2022?

83 fixtures met the criteria, led by Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.