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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Friday 4 March 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

35 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 4 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Roda vs Dordrecht at 72% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 20%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangmai United
1 : 1 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
1 : 0 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 3 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
1 : 1 FT
Al Urooba
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
1 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
1 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Yeni Malatyaspor
1 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
3 : 4 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 25%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
4 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 16%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–2 Β· 10%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
4 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
0 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
1 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 27%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
0 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
3 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
5 : 0 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 10%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
4 : 2 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
1 : 4 FT
Lyon
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 68%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
0 : 0 FT
Sevilla
Win 26%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS No 71%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 22%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 0 FT
Estoril
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
0 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
3 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 35 of 35 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 4 March 2022?

35 fixtures met the criteria, led by Roda vs Dordrecht at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.