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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 23 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 23 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Damac vs Al-Ahli Jeddah at 49% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 19%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 17%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
✓ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Le Mans
1 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#5 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
4 : 0 FT
Al-Ettifaq
✓ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
1 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
2 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
2 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 3 CANC
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 33%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#10 League Two · England
Walsall
0 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 24%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 52%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Premier League · Ukraine
Kudrivka
2 : 2 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
#12 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
1 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Pisa
✓ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
0 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
#16 Premier League · England
Everton
0 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 27%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 45%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#17 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
3 : 1 FT
Al Riyadh
✓ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong AZ
2 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 23 February 2026?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Damac vs Al-Ahli Jeddah at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.