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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 26 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 26 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah at 54% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 23%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies four of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the clean sheet market — 29%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 15%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Al-Ahli Jeddah Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
2 : 1 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
2 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 53%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
2 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
5 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 1 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 7 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 26 February 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.