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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 11 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 11 February 2026. Charlton vs Stoke City sits top on 47% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Charlton
1 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 27%
Draw 38%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#2 Premier League · England
Manchester City
3 : 0 FT
Fulham
✓ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico-MG
3 : 3 FT
Remo
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#4 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
0 : 0 FT
Wolves
Win 42%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Mirassol
2 : 2 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#6 Serie B · Italy
Empoli
1 : 2 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Bari
0 : 0 FT
Spezia
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 League Two · England
Swindon Town
2 : 0 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
1 : 0 FT
Brighton
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 Premier League · England
Crystal Palace
2 : 3 FT
Burnley
Win 44%
Draw 33%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria
1 : 2 FT
Flamengo
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 58%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
0 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#13 League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Premier League · England
Sunderland
0 : 1 FT
Liverpool
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 3 FT
Utrecht
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Avellino
1 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 27%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 3 FT
Heerenveen
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Serie A · Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
3 : 3 FT
Coritiba
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
3 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
✓ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 71%
#20 Super League · Switzerland
FC Lugano
1 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 11 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Charlton vs Stoke City at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.