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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 14 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 14 February 2026. Palermo vs Virtus Entella sits top on 54% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
3 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
✓ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Palermo Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 15%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 57%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 61%
#3 League Two · England
Cambridge United
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#4 League Two · England
Chesterfield
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#5 Serie A · Italy
Como
1 : 2 FT
Fiorentina
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 55%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 1 FT
Prachuap
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro
2 : 0 FT
Mantova
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#9 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
1 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#10 League One · England
Cardiff
3 : 1 FT
Luton
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
2 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 24%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#12 League Two · England
Shrewsbury
3 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#13 League One · England
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#14 League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#16 La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
2 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#17 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 0 FT
Newport County
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63%
#18 League One · England
Reading
3 : 2 FT
Wycombe
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#19 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 2 FT
Plzen
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#20 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 14 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Palermo vs Virtus Entella at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.