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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Saturday 18 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
: 12:00
Chengdu Better City
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Supra du Quebec
: 00:00
Vancouver FC
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
HJK Helsinki
: 13:00
VPS
Win 31%
Draw 32%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 59%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.