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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Tuesday 21 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
: 11:30
Incheon United
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 56%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
: 11:30
Daejeon Citizen
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
: 23:30
Bahia
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
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Showing top 5 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.