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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 17 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
: 18:00
Vasteras SK FK
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
: 18:00
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
: 12:35
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
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Showing top 6 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.