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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Saturday 11 April 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
2 : 2 FT
Everton
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
3 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Championship Β· England
Oxford United
2 : 0 FT
Watford
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.