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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Tuesday 14 April 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
3 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
BTTS Yes 58%
#3 League One Β· England
Huddersfield
1 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
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Showing top 14 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.