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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 13 April 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Lazio
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Eyüpspor
1 : 2 FT
Samsunspor
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 57%
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Showing top 16 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.