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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 12 April 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 4 FT
Lille
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
1 : 2 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 37%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.