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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 23 January 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Levante
3 : 2 FT
Elche
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
2 : 2 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 59%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.