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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Wednesday 21 January 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
0 : 0 FT
NEOM
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#3 Championship Β· England
Southampton
1 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
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Showing top 6 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.