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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 5 April 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 5 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Gremio vs Remo (Gremio or draw) at 90% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 77%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil Gremio or draw 90%
Gremio
0 : 0 FT
Remo
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 60%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen or draw 90%
Heerenveen
4 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 89%
Palermo
2 : 0 FT
Avellino
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 57%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 89%
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 58%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 84%
Flamengo
3 : 1 FT
Santos
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy Bologna or draw 84%
Cremonese
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 16%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 61%
BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 83%
Frosinone
2 : 0 FT
Padova
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53%
#8 Super League Β· China Hangzhou Greentown or draw 83%
Hangzhou Greentown
0 : 1 FT
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 83%
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 82%
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#11 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 82%
PAOK
0 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 81%
GO Ahead Eagles
5 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 73%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece Levadiakos or draw 81%
Levadiakos
1 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 or draw 80%
FC Schalke 04
1 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 80%
Sparta Praha
2 : 0 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 75%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 79%
Inter
5 : 2 FT
AS Roma
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil Mirassol or draw 79%
Mirassol
0 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#18 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw 78%
Incheon United
2 : 1 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 22%
Draw 36%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 61%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 77%
Al Ain
2 : 0 FT
Ajman
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
#20 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh or draw 77%
Al Okhdood
1 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 23%
Draw 21%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 5 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gremio vs Remo (Gremio or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.