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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 4 April 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 4 April 2026. Zenit vs Krylia Sovetov (Zenit or draw) sits top on 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 94%
Zenit
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 64% Zenit Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 90%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 : 0 FT
Damac
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#3 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 90%
Shandong Luneng
1 : 2 FT
Dalian Zhixing
Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 88%
Port FC
3 : 0 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Deportes Limache or draw 87%
Deportes Limache
4 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 87%
FC Porto
2 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 65% FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 85%
Bayer Leverkusen
6 : 3 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 83%
Excelsior
0 : 2 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 17%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil Sao Paulo or draw 83%
Sao Paulo
4 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France Saint Etienne or draw 82%
Nancy
1 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#11 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Gangwon FC or draw 81%
Gangwon FC
3 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 35%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec or draw 81%
Slovan Liberec
2 : 1 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 81%
Kanchanaburi
0 : 2 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 19%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Mariehamn or draw 80%
Mariehamn
1 : 1 FT
Turku PS
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 80%
Moreirense
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 20%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 57%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia Dynamo or draw 80%
Dynamo
3 : 3 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland GKS Katowice or draw 80%
GKS Katowice
1 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 80%
RSC Anderlecht II
0 : 5 FT
SK Beveren
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 80%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland FF Jaro or draw 80%
FF Jaro
0 : 1 FT
Lahti
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 4 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs Krylia Sovetov (Zenit or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.