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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 1 February 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 1 February 2026. PAOK vs Panserraikos (PAOK or draw) sits top on 95% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 95%
PAOK
4 : 1 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 64% PAOK Clean Sheet 62%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 93%
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 57% Real Madrid Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 91%
Sporting CP
2 : 1 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 90%
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 2 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece Levadiakos or draw 89%
Levadiakos
3 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 88%
Tondela
0 : 0 FT
Benfica
Win 12%
Draw 20%
Win 68%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 87%
Real Betis
2 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 86%
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 0 FT
Al Najma
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 85%
Galatasaray
4 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa or draw 85%
Aston Villa
0 : 1 FT
Brentford
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 84%
Cremonese
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 16%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 84%
Buriram United
0 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#13 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 82%
Panathinaikos
3 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 82%
Ratchaburi
3 : 2 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Toulouse or draw 81%
Toulouse
0 : 0 FT
Auxerre
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France Angers or draw 81%
Angers
1 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 69%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec or draw 80%
Slovan Liberec
2 : 0 FT
Zlin
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#18 Premier League Β· England Manchester United or draw 79%
Manchester United
3 : 2 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy Como or draw 79%
Como
0 : 0 FT
Atalanta
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 78%
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 0 FT
Club Brugge KV
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 1 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAOK vs Panserraikos (PAOK or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.