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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 31 January 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 31 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Göztepe vs Fatih Karagümrük (Göztepe or draw) at 91% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig · Turkey Göztepe or draw 91%
Göztepe
2 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
✓ Win 64%
Draw 28%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59% Göztepe Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 88%
Hamburger SV
2 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Serie B · Italy Venezia or draw 88%
Venezia
2 : 1 FT
Carrarese
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 League One · England Exeter City or draw 88%
Exeter City
0 : 4 FT
Rotherham
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 62% Exeter City Clean Sheet 54%
#5 League One · England Leyton Orient or draw 87%
Leyton Orient
0 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Thai League 1 · Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 87%
BG Pathum United
2 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Championship · England Wrexham or draw 85%
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 1 FT
Wrexham
Win 15%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 84%
Paris FC
2 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 16%
Draw 19%
Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Bundesliga · Germany 1899 Hoffenheim or draw 84%
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
✓ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 83%
Chelsea
3 : 2 FT
West Ham
✓ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Championship · England Ipswich or draw 82%
Ipswich
1 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#12 Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 81%
Beşiktaş
2 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
✓ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 81%
Napoli
2 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
✓ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 81%
RB Leipzig
1 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Süper Lig · Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 81%
Alanyaspor
1 : 3 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 44%
Draw 37%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 58%
#16 Championship · England Millwall or draw 80%
Millwall
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 2. Bundesliga · Germany Holstein Kiel or draw 80%
Holstein Kiel
1 : 2 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Championship · England Leicester or draw 79%
Leicester
0 : 2 FT
Charlton
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Championship · England Hull City or draw 79%
Blackburn
0 : 1 FT
Hull City
Win 21%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 55%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Thai League 1 · Thailand Kanchanaburi or draw 79%
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0 FT
Prachuap
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 31 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Göztepe vs Fatih Karagümrük (Göztepe or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.