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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 13 April 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 13 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to PSV Eindhoven vs Vitesse (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 95% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 95%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

League One · England Lincoln or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 89%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%

Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 89%

Championship · England Swansea or draw 88%

Championship · England Leeds or draw 87%

League Two · England Stockport County or draw 86%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%

Serie B · Italy Como or draw 86%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%

#10

Serie A · Italy Bologna or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#11

Super League · Switzerland FC ST. Gallen or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%

#12

League Two · England Wrexham or draw 86%

#13

Championship · England Bristol City or draw 86%

#14

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 85%

#15

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%

#16

Premier League · Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 85%

#17

Serie B · Italy Reggiana or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#18

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 83%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%

#19

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 83%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#20

Bundesliga · Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 13 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Vitesse (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.