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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 16 April 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 16 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Colo Colo vs Cobreloa (Colo Colo or draw) at 87% in the Primera División. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 87%
Colo Colo
0 : 2 FT
Cobreloa
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 59%
#2 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 87%
Bolton
2 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP or draw 83%
Famalicao
0 : 1 FT
Sporting CP
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 League One Β· England Peterborough or draw 82%
Peterborough
4 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 League Two Β· England Mansfield Town or draw 82%
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden Osters IF or draw 80%
Osters IF
2 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 16 April 2024?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Colo Colo vs Cobreloa (Colo Colo or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.