Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 12 April 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
15 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 12 April 2024. Willem II vs Jong AZ (Willem II or draw) led the list at 86% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II or draw
86%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag or draw
85%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens or draw
83%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
St. Truiden or draw
82%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio or draw
82%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC or draw
82%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap or draw
81%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor or draw
80%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka or draw
79%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg or draw
79%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda or draw
79%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku or draw
78%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
VPS or draw
78%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
77%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
76%
Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 12 April 2024?
15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Willem II vs Jong AZ (Willem II or draw) at 86% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.