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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 14 April 2024

Thu 11 Fri 12 Sat 13 Sun 14 Mon 15 Tue 16 Wed 17

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 14 April 2024. Inter vs Cagliari (Inter or draw) led the list at 94% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 65% Inter Clean Sheet 62%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 91%

Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Benfica Clean Sheet 58%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 90%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%

Eredivisie · Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 88%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 88%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Jagiellonia or draw 87%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 85%

Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#10

Premier League · Russia FC Orenburg or draw 85%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%

#11

Bundesliga · Germany SC Freiburg or draw 85%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%

#12

Super League 1 · Greece Panathinaikos or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#13

Superettan · Sweden Trelleborg or draw 83%

#14

La Liga · Spain Athletic Club or draw 82%

Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#15

Eredivisie · Netherlands Utrecht or draw 81%

#16

Primeira Liga · Portugal Arouca or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#17

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 81%

Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%

#18

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 80%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%

#19

Super League · Switzerland FC Winterthur or draw 80%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%

#20

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 14 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Cagliari (Inter or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.