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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 15 April 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Monday 15 April 2024. Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC (Al-Wasl FC or draw) sits top on 89% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 89%
Al-Wasl FC
3 : 0 FT
Hatta SC
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 84%
Atalanta
2 : 2 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 81%
FC Kharkiv
1 : 1 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC or draw 80%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 0 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 20%
Draw 20%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 79%
Alanyaspor
0 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 78%
IFK Varnamo
0 : 4 FT
Malmo FF
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy Fiorentina or draw 76%
Fiorentina
1 : 1 FT
Genoa
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 15 April 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Wasl FC vs Hatta SC (Al-Wasl FC or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.