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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 30 August 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 30 August 2022. Inter vs Cremonese (Inter or draw) led the list at 90% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 87%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 90%
Inter
3 : 1 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#2 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 89%
Sheffield Utd
4 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 89%
AS Roma
3 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Internacional or draw 88%
Internacional
4 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Bastia or draw 87%
Saint Etienne
5 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 13%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France Caen or draw 86%
Caen
1 : 1 FT
PAU
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 83%
Benfica
3 : 2 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Zlin or draw 82%
Zlin
2 : 1 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France Le Havre or draw 81%
Laval
1 : 3 FT
Le Havre
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil Corinthians or draw 81%
Corinthians
1 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 81%
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Premier League Β· England Leeds or draw 77%
Leeds
1 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France Amiens or draw 77%
Amiens
1 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France Dijon or draw 76%
Dijon
0 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France Grenoble or draw 75%
Grenoble
3 : 2 FT
Nimes
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 30 August 2022?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Cremonese (Inter or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.