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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Wednesday 31 August 2022

Sun 28 Mon 29 Tue 30 Wed 31 Thu 1 Fri 2 Sat 3

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Wednesday 31 August 2022. Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain (Paris Saint Germain or draw) sits top on 92% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 94%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 66%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 92%

✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 60%

Serie A · Italy Napoli or draw 91%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 90%

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 87%

Ligue 1 · France Lyon or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Eliteserien · Norway Tromso or draw 80%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%

#10

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%

#11

Premier League · England Tottenham or draw 80%

#12

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 77%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%

#13

Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 77%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%

#14

Championship · England Bristol City or draw 77%

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

#15

Super League · China Shandong Luneng or draw 76%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%

#16

Ligue 1 · France Lens or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#17

Serie A · Italy Udinese or draw 75%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 17 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Predictions by country

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 31 August 2022?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain (Paris Saint Germain or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.