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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 2 September 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 2 September 2022. Dundalk vs Shelbourne (Dundalk or draw) led the list at 88% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier Division supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland Dundalk or draw 88%
Dundalk
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 87%
Den Bosch
1 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 84%
St Patrick's Athl.
2 : 1 FT
Finn Harps
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland Derry City or draw 83%
Derry City
3 : 0 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Amiens or draw 83%
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Grenoble
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Amiens Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 82%
Club Brugge KV
4 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 78%
Benfica
2 : 1 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Incheon United or draw 78%
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 76%
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France Sochaux or draw 76%
Sochaux
4 : 1 FT
Laval
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 34%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France Quevilly or draw 75%
Quevilly
3 : 3 FT
Niort
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy Cagliari or draw 75%
Cagliari
1 : 0 FT
Modena
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
#13 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw 75%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2 FT
Al Bataeh
Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 2 September 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dundalk vs Shelbourne (Dundalk or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.