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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 27 August 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 27 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Liverpool vs Bournemouth (Liverpool or draw) at 90% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Championship · England Millwall or draw 89%

Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%

League One · England Ipswich or draw 88%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 58%

Super League · China Chengdu Better City or draw 88%

Allsvenskan · Sweden BK Hacken or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

League Two · England Carlisle or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Carlisle Clean Sheet 57%

Bundesliga · Austria Lask Linz or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Veikkausliiga · Finland Honka or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Premier League · England Brentford or draw 85%

#10

Eliteserien · Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 84%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%

#11

Super League · China Shandong Luneng or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#12

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 84%

#13

Ekstraklasa · Poland Wisla Plock or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#14

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 84%

#15

League Two · England Leyton Orient or draw 84%

Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%

#16

League Two · England Walsall or draw 83%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%

#17

Canadian Premier League · Canada Forge or draw 83%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%

#18

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 82%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%

#19

League Two · England Bradford or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#20

Allsvenskan · Sweden Degerfors IF or draw 82%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 27 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Liverpool vs Bournemouth (Liverpool or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.