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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 19 April 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 41 fixtures on Friday 19 April 2024. Al-Nassr vs Al-Fayha sits top on 82% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 19%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
✓ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Vancouver FC
2 : 0 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
3 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Port FC
1 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
SJK
1 : 0 FT
Ilves
✓ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Inter Turku
1 : 1 FT
KuPS
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
✓ Win 51%
Draw 20%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
Model Score 2–1 · 7%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 2 FT
Al Taee
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Korona Kielce
4 : 0 FT
Radomiak Radom
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
2 : 0 FT
Fakel
✓ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 26%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 50%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
1 : 1 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
0 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
2 : 0 FT
Ankaragücü
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
1 : 0 FT
Rapid Vienna
✓ Win 40%
Draw 32%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 17%
Draw 21%
Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 1 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
1 : 1 FT
De Graafschap
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 3 FT
Emmen
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Zulte Waregem
4 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 47%
Draw 35%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 75% Beerschot VA Clean Sheet 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 23%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
3 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Oostende
2 : 1 FT
Standard Liège II
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
5 : 0 FT
KRC Genk II
✓ Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Francs Borains
0 : 3 FT
Dender
Win 27%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
3 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
0 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
0 : 0 FT
Parma
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
0 : 4 FT
Cosenza
Win 23%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
2 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 16%
Draw 28%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% Shelbourne Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 18%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League One · England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
3 : 0 FT
Lorient
✓ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 1 FT
Granada CF
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 57% Athletic Club Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 41 of 41 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 19 April 2024?

41 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Nassr vs Al-Fayha at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.