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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 20 January 2024

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

66 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 20 January 2024. FC Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SV led the list at 74% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 25%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
✓ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
✓ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
3 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
✓ Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg
2 : 2 FT
Hannover 96
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Arsenal
5 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
✓ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 3 FT
Southampton
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Feralpisalo
3 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
2 : 2 FT
Como
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Spezia
0 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 27%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 15%
Serie B · Italy
Ternana
3 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Sudtirol
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 2 FT
Las Palmas
Win 34%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
1 : 1 FT
Başakşehir
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Alanyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Rizespor
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
3 : 2 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 4 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 22%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
1 : 0 FT
VfB Stuttgart
✓ Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
1 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Norwich
2 : 0 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Plymouth
3 : 1 FT
Cardiff
✓ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Championship · England
QPR
2 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 2 FT
Coventry
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Birmingham
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2 FT
Blackpool
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
League One · England
Burton Albion
2 : 0 FT
Charlton
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
Win 40%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
League One · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 13%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 65%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 17%
Draw 30%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65% Bolton Clean Sheet 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 19%
League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
League One · England
Peterborough
2 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Peterborough Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 2–0 · 15%
League One · England
Wigan
1 : 0 FT
Reading
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 11%
League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 3 FT
Crewe
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 2 FT
Morecambe
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
League Two · England
Newport County
1 : 0 FT
Wrexham
✓ Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
1 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
4 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Lecco
1 : 3 FT
Pisa
Win 33%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie B · Italy
Palermo
4 : 2 FT
Modena
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
1 : 1 FT
Mallorca
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
1 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Super League 1 · Greece
Lamia
4 : 1 FT
Kifisia
✓ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Pendikspor
4 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 11%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–2 · 11%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
2 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League 1 · Greece
PAS Giannina
0 : 2 FT
Panserraikos
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
1 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
Win 60%
Draw 29%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62% Standard Liege Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Premier League · England
Brentford
3 : 2 FT
Nottingham Forest
✓ Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
2 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Valencia
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
✓ Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 3 FT
Farense
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
1 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
✓ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 39%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 39%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Super League · Switzerland
Lausanne
0 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
2 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 33%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
3 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 25%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
5 : 0 FT
Moreirense
✓ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Showing 66 of 66 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 20 January 2024?

66 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Schalke 04 vs Hamburger SV at 74% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.