Today's Correct Score Predictions

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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 19 May 2023

Tue 16 Wed 17 Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

50 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 19 May 2023. Heracles vs Jong Ajax led the list at 77% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 16%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Super League · China

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 58%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Premier League · Ukraine

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Super League · China

✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Super League · China

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Super League · China

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Super League · China

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier League · Ukraine

✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%

✓ Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Premier League · Ukraine

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 14%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

2. Bundesliga · Germany

✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Model Score 1–2 · 10%

Ligue 2 · France

✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%

Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Superettan · Sweden

✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Bundesliga · Austria

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 2–0 · 11%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Model Score 2–1 · 9%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands

✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Bundesliga · Germany

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ekstraklasa · Poland

Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Model Score 0–1 · 13%

Serie B · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie B · Italy

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%

✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%

Serie B · Italy

Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%

Model Score 1–0 · 17%

Serie B · Italy

Under 2.5 84% BTTS No 74%

Model Score 0–0 · 25%

Serie B · Italy

Model Score 1–0 · 12%

Serie B · Italy

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%

Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Serie B · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie B · Italy

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Serie B · Italy

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Serie B · Italy

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

Model Score 0–1 · 15%

Serie A · Italy

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%

Model Score 1–1 · 11%

Premier Division · Ireland

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 64% Derry City Clean Sheet 56%

Model Score 1–0 · 18%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

League One · England

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Ligue 1 · France

✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Model Score 1–1 · 9%

La Liga · Spain

Model Score 1–0 · 13%

Premier Division · Ireland

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Model Score 2–1 · 10%

Primeira Liga · Portugal

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Primera División · Chile

Model Score 1–1 · 12%

Showing 50 of 50 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Likely Draw Tightly Contested Over 2.5 Goals

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 19 May 2023?

50 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs Jong Ajax at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.