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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Saturday 8 April 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 89 fixtures on Saturday 8 April 2023. PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior sits top on 82% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC
2 : 1 FT
Suwon Bluewings
✓ Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
K League 1 · South-Korea
FC Seoul
3 : 0 FT
Daegu FC
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
2 : 0 FT
Gwangju FC
✓ Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 0 FT
Minai
✓ Win 34%
Draw 33%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–0 · 16%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
2 : 0 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Udinese
2 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
6 : 1 FT
Hannover 96
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Russia
Torpedo Moskva
2 : 0 FT
Fakel
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Police Tero
2 : 2 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Metal Kharkiv
✓ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Premier League · England
Manchester United
2 : 0 FT
Everton
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
5 : 2 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
✓ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
2 : 1 FT
Elche
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
5 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
✓ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
0 : 0 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 0 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 20%
Draw 25%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 46%
Draw 27%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United
2 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
✓ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Ligue 2 · France
Bordeaux
2 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
0 : 2 FT
Stal Mielec
Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
1 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 32%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
3 : 1 FT
Halmstad
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Ankaragücü
3 : 2 FT
İstanbulspor
✓ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1 FT
Union Berlin
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg
0 : 1 FT
Bayern München
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
2 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 3 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
2 : 0 FT
Ural
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa
2 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
✓ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 62%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Premier League · England
Brentford
1 : 2 FT
Newcastle
Win 32%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Fulham
0 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Leicester
0 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Model Score 1–0 · 11%
Premier League · England
Tottenham
2 : 1 FT
Brighton
✓ Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · England
Wolves
1 : 0 FT
Chelsea
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
4 : 1 FT
KV Mechelen
✓ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
0 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 38%
Draw 38%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
2 : 1 FT
Zlin
✓ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
0 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
1 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Espanyol
1 : 2 FT
Athletic Club
Win 32%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Arouca
1 : 0 FT
Maritimo
✓ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 56%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta
0 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
Sampdoria
2 : 3 FT
Cremonese
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
OFI
4 : 1 FT
Lamia
Win 30%
Draw 42%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers
1 : 0 FT
Lille
Win 16%
Draw 23%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
1 : 3 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Lustenau
1 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
✓ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 2 FT
Cracovia Krakow
✓ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich
1 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
3 : 2 FT
Zulte Waregem
✓ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · England
Southampton
1 : 4 FT
Manchester City
Win 17%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC
0 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 28%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona
2 : 1 FT
Sassuolo
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 33%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
2 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Super League 1 · Greece
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 1 FT
Levadiakos
Win 61%
Draw 30%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 63% Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 1 FT
Ionikos
Win 41%
Draw 38%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
3 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 0 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
2 : 1 FT
Caen
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Laval
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 29%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
2 : 4 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Nimes
✓ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 2 · France
Niort
0 : 3 FT
Sochaux
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
1 : 0 FT
Rodez
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Ligue 2 · France
PAU
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Ligue 2 · France
Le Havre
0 : 0 FT
Guingamp
Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Portimonense
2 : 2 FT
Rio Ave
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 · 18%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 3 FT
Famalicao
Win 33%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 41%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
3 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
✓ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 0 FT
Trabzonspor
✓ Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 0 FT
Excelsior
✓ Win 92%
Draw 6%
Win 2%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 3–0 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
✓ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
4 : 1 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
✓ Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 0 FT
Al Bataeh
✓ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
0 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 71%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion
2 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Lazio
2 : 1 FT
Juventus
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
1 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice
0 : 2 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 33%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
✓ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 3 FT
Villarreal
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 66% SC Braga Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%

Showing 89 of 89 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Saturday 8 April 2023?

89 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior at 82% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.