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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 7 April 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

68 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 7 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to NAC Breda vs Den Bosch at 86% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 29%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · England
Millwall
0 : 0 FT
Luton
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Rotherham
3 : 1 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier League · Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 0 FT
Inhulets
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Superettan · Sweden
Gais
3 : 0 FT
IK brage
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Blackburn
0 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Blackpool
1 : 3 FT
Cardiff
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
QPR
0 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Championship · England
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Birmingham
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 0 FT
Wigan
✓ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Championship · England
Stoke City
1 : 2 FT
Bristol City
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Championship · England
Swansea
0 : 0 FT
Coventry
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Watford
2 : 3 FT
Huddersfield
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Accrington ST
3 : 0 FT
Port Vale
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League One · England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 14%
League One · England
Burton Albion
2 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Cambridge United
2 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
League One · England
Exeter City
0 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Forest Green
0 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 27%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Ipswich
4 : 0 FT
Wycombe
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League One · England
Lincoln
2 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
✓ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
League One · England
Morecambe
1 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 3 FT
Peterborough
Win 35%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
League Two · England
Carlisle
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
✓ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League Two · England
Crawley Town
0 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 28%
Draw 31%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Crewe
3 : 0 FT
Barrow
✓ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 0 FT
Doncaster
✓ Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
✓ Model Score 1–0 · 16%
League Two · England
Grimsby
1 : 4 FT
Hartlepool
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
2 : 2 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Newport County
3 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
Rochdale
4 : 2 FT
Walsall
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Salford City
0 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Stevenage
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Sutton Utd
0 : 1 FT
Stockport County
Win 34%
Draw 35%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Swindon Town
2 : 4 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 28%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
0 : 1 FT
Vizela
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
1 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Sunderland
4 : 4 FT
Hull City
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
1 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 2 FT
Napoli
Win 9%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 72%
BTTS No 63% Napoli Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 0–2 · 16%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor
1 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
4 : 0 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
1 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 26%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
✓ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
1 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
4 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
✓ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
5 : 3 FT
Heracles
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 80%
Draw 11%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 3–1 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
1 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
2 : 3 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
0 : 4 FT
Dender
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liège II
1 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 28%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 45%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 32%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
4 : 3 FT
Al Nasr
✓ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
2 : 0 FT
Seraing United
✓ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 29%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 45%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
0 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 1–0 · 18%
Premier Division · Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
4 : 0 FT
Cork City
✓ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
0 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 50%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Championship · England
Middlesbrough
1 : 2 FT
Burnley
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lens
2 : 1 FT
Strasbourg
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
0 : 0 FT
Empoli
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
2 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
3 : 0 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
2 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
✓ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 68 of 68 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 7 April 2023?

68 fixtures met the criteria, led by NAC Breda vs Den Bosch at 86% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.