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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Monday 24 October 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 36 fixtures on Monday 24 October 2022. Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo led the list at 77% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 23%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
3 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Super League Β· China
Changchun Yatai
0 : 1 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
7 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
2 : 1 FT
Inhulets
Win 23%
Draw 34%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 70%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
2 : 1 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 66%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Premier League Β· Russia
Ural
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
0 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 17%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
0 : 1 FT
Sampdoria
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
4 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
0 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
4 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra
2 : 1 FT
Norrby IF
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
0 : 0 FT
Lamia
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Giresunspor
1 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
2 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
7 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 3–0 Β· 9%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 0 FT
Telstar
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
6 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 3 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
2 : 1 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
2 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
UCD
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 0 FT
Derry City
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
La Liga Β· Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 36 of 36 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Monday 24 October 2022?

36 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo at 77% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.