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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 25 October 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

33 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 25 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Wuhan Three Towns vs Dalian Aerbin at 79% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 21%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 1 FT
Curico Unido
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 1 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 69% Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
4 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 8%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
0 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 14%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
4 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Superettan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
0 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Superettan Β· Sweden
IF Brommapojkarna
3 : 2 FT
IK brage
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Championship Β· England
Coventry
2 : 2 FT
Rotherham
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 74% Coventry Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 22%
League One Β· England
Barnsley
0 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Bolton
2 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Charlton
0 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Derby
0 : 0 FT
Exeter City
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 FT
Forest Green
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Peterborough
3 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League One Β· England
Plymouth
2 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
League One Β· England
Port Vale
2 : 3 FT
Ipswich
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Portsmouth
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 3 FT
Cambridge United
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 0 FT
Grimsby
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Colchester
2 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
0 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
0 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Northampton
2 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Carlisle
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Rochdale
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Walsall
3 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League Two Β· England
Doncaster
0 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Burnley
1 : 0 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%

Showing 33 of 33 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 25 October 2022?

33 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Three Towns vs Dalian Aerbin at 79% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.