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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 1 March 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 1 March 2026. PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis sits top on 60% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 38%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Super League 1 supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
PAOK
2 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
✓ Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ PAOK Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Super League 1 · Greece
Panserraikos
1 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 10%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 68%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 64% Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
0 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 14%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 63%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 13%
Draw 23%
Win 64%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 60%
#5 Thai League 1 · Thailand
BG Pathum United
2 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
✓ Win 76%
Draw 17%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#6 Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
0 : 3 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Serie A · Italy
Torino
2 : 0 FT
Lazio
Win 25%
Draw 32%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#8 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
3 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
✓ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#9 Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
0 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lommel United
0 : 1 FT
Seraing United
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Premier League · Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
1 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#12 Bundesliga · Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#13 Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 21%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#14 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
0 : 2 FT
Slovácko
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#15 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
3 : 3 FT
Juventus
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#16 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 FT
Prachuap
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Tondela
2 : 2 FT
Santa Clara
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 64%
#18 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
✓ Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#19 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KVC Westerlo
0 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
2 : 3 FT
Bucheon FC 1995
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 1 March 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.