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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 17 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 17 February 2026. Stevenage vs Port Vale sits top on 59% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One · England
Stevenage
2 : 1 FT
Port Vale
✓ Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 70% Stevenage Clean Sheet 59%
#2 League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 Championship · England
Charlton
1 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#4 League One · England
Lincoln
4 : 0 FT
Northampton
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 League One · England
Exeter City
1 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#6 League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 3 FT
Newport County
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#7 League One · England
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Stockport County
✓ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 League Two · England
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#9 League Two · England
Barrow
0 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 34%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#10 League Two · England
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 FT
Notts County
Win 28%
Draw 29%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 League Two · England
Oldham
2 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
✓ Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 League Two · England
Bromley
1 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 League Two · England
Tranmere
0 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 League Two · England
Crewe
0 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 League Two · England
Chesterfield
1 : 0 FT
Gillingham
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#16 League One · England
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 League One · England
Cardiff
4 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
✓ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#18 League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 30%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Championship · England
Bristol City
2 : 2 FT
Wrexham
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 League Two · England
Barnet
1 : 2 FT
Swindon Town
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 17 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stevenage vs Port Vale at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.