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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 23 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 23 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Annecy vs Clermont Foot at 48% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
0 : 2 FT
Montpellier
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Carrarese
3 : 0 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Inter
6 : 2 FT
Pisa
✓ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
0 : 3 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
3 : 3 FT
AVS
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
1 : 3 FT
Rodez
Win 26%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Championship · England
Derby
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
✓ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
✓ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege
0 : 4 FT
Gent
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Kortrijk
4 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
✓ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 59%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
BTTS Yes 57%
#15 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
1 : 2 FT
FC OSS
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Levante
3 : 2 FT
Elche
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 54%
#19 Ligue 1 · France
Auxerre
0 : 1 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 30%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 23 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Annecy vs Clermont Foot at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.