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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 1 December 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 1 December 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Palermo vs Spezia at 51% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B · Italy
Palermo
2 : 0 FT
Spezia
Win 21%
Draw 39%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 2 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
#3 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
3 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
✓ Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#4 Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 17%
Draw 29%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#5 Premier League · Russia
Zenit
2 : 3 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#6 Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
3 : 0 FT
Chornomorets
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Getafe
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Serie A · Brazil
RB Bragantino
1 : 1 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#9 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
2 : 1 FT
ODD Ballklubb
✓ Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#10 Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 1 FT
Fluminense
Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#11 Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar
0 : 3 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
3 : 2 FT
Cesena
Win 24%
Draw 37%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 59%
#13 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
✓ Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#14 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 1 FT
Juventus
Win 14%
Draw 20%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 55%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 1 FT
Napoli
Win 26%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#16 Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 56%
#17 Premier League · Russia
Lokomotiv
1 : 3 FT
Khimki
Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Primeira Liga · Portugal
AVS
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 18%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 60%
#19 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
0 : 2 FT
Genoa
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#20 Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre
0 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 26%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 1 December 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Palermo vs Spezia at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.