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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 3 December 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 3 December 2024. Charlton vs Crawley Town led the list at 54% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Charlton
1 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 65% Charlton Clean Sheet 54%
#2 League One Β· England
Reading
3 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 League Two Β· England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#4 League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Bastia
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#6 League One Β· England
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 League Two Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 1 FT
Port Vale
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#8 League One Β· England
Exeter City
2 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
Under 2.5 54%
#9 League One Β· England
Rotherham
2 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 5 FT
Barcelona
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
3 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#12 League One Β· England
Stevenage
2 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 League Two Β· England
Tranmere
2 : 2 FT
Morecambe
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#14 League Two Β· England
Salford City
2 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Ipswich
0 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 League One Β· England
Huddersfield
1 : 0 FT
Wigan
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#17 League One Β· England
Bolton
3 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#18 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
3 : 1 FT
West Ham
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
3 : 0 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#20 League Two Β· England
Colchester
4 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 3 December 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Charlton vs Crawley Town at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.