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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 4 December 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 4 December 2024. FK Jablonec vs České Budějovice sits top on 45% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 45% down to 27%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Czech Liga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
5 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
✓ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#2 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 4 FT
Doncaster
Win 26%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#3 Serie A · Brazil
Criciuma
0 : 3 FT
Flamengo
Win 20%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 52%
Under 2.5 53%
#4 Premier League · England
Arsenal
2 : 0 FT
Manchester United
✓ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
#5 Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Polessya
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#6 Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
4 : 0 FT
TSV Hartberg
✓ Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 34%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
#8 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 3 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 58%
#9 Premier League · England
Southampton
1 : 5 FT
Chelsea
Win 14%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria
1 : 1 FT
Gremio
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#11 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
2 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#12 Premier League · England
Newcastle
3 : 3 FT
Liverpool
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 53%
#13 League Two · England
Bromley
2 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 59%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo
1 : 2 FT
Juventude
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
3 : 1 FT
Brentford
✓ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#17 League One · England
Birmingham
2 : 0 FT
Stockport County
✓ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#18 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Premier League · Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 0 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 56%
#20 League One · England
Peterborough
0 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 4 December 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FK Jablonec vs České Budějovice at 45% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.