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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 13 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 13 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Akhmat vs Baltika at 53% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 43%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League · Russia
Akhmat
1 : 7 FT
Baltika
Win 43%
Draw 37%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Bologna
0 : 0 FT
Monza
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 2 FT
Burton Albion
Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 68%
#4 League One · England
Lincoln
1 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
2 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
1 : 1 FT
Samsunspor
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#7 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
✓ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
BTTS No 53%
#8 Championship · England
West Brom
0 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Serie B · Italy
Como
2 : 1 FT
Bari
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#10 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
6 : 0 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 75%
#11 Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 55%
#12 League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 24%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#13 League Two · England
Wrexham
6 : 0 FT
Forest Green
✓ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Lecco
1 : 0 FT
Reggiana
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Torino
0 : 0 FT
Juventus
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#16 Championship · England
Swansea
1 : 0 FT
Rotherham
✓ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#17 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 2 FT
Famalicao
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#18 Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
4 : 3 FT
Auxerre
Win 23%
Draw 32%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#19 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
0 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 25%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
1 : 4 FT
PAU
Win 25%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 13 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Akhmat vs Baltika at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.