Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 14 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 14 April 2024. Inter vs Cagliari sits top on 62% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 38%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
2 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 65% Inter Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
3 : 0 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Benfica Clean Sheet 58%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
3 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 60%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
5 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
4 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 2 FT
Charleroi
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
0 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 0 FT
Sandviken
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
4 : 3 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#11 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
0 : 2 FT
Palestino
Win 33%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 0 FT
Rubin
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 21%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
1 : 2 FT
Seraing United
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Iquique
2 : 3 FT
U. Catolica
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
2 : 1 FT
GO Ahead Eagles
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
2 : 2 FT
Rio Ave
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC St. Pauli
3 : 4 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 12%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 70%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
0 : 0 FT
Huachipato
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 14 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Cagliari at 62% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.