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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 12 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 12 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin at 47% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
2 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
4 : 1 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
2 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 0 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
3 : 3 FT
Standard Liege
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
3 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#8 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
0 : 0 FT
Galway United
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
5 : 1 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
4 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
3 : 1 FT
Skövde AIK
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
1 : 3 FT
Catanzaro
Win 29%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 4 FT
Roda
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 23%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
4 : 0 FT
Hansa Rostock
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#19 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
1 : 1 FT
SJK
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Inter Turku
3 : 3 FT
AC Oulu
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 12 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.