Sign in Register
🧀

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 16 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 16 April 2024. Burton Albion vs Cheltenham led the list at 44% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 44% down to 18%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
1 : 2 FT
Cheltenham
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
0 : 2 FT
Cobreloa
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 59%
#3 League One Β· England
Bolton
2 : 2 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
2 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#5 League One Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 2 FT
Wycombe
Win 25%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 League One Β· England
Peterborough
4 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
0 : 1 FT
Sporting CP
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 League Two Β· England
Colchester
2 : 0 FT
Grimsby
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Championship Β· England
Southampton
3 : 0 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 3 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 League Two Β· England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 League One Β· England
Oxford United
0 : 1 FT
Lincoln
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
3 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#16 League Two Β· England
Crawley Town
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 League Two Β· England
Notts County
2 : 5 FT
Stockport County
Win 25%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#18 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
3 : 2 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%

Showing top 18 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 16 April 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burton Albion vs Cheltenham at 44% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.